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    Home»AI Tools»Next Token Probability Attribution for Detecting Hallucinations in RAG
    AI Tools

    Next Token Probability Attribution for Detecting Hallucinations in RAG

    AwaisBy AwaisJanuary 7, 2026No Comments2 Mins Read0 Views
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    [Submitted on 8 Dec 2025 (v1), last revised 6 Jan 2026 (this version, v2)]

    View a PDF of the paper titled TPA: Next Token Probability Attribution for Detecting Hallucinations in RAG, by Pengqian Lu and 3 other authors

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    Abstract:Detecting hallucinations in Retrieval-Augmented Generation remains a challenge. Prior approaches attribute hallucinations to a binary conflict between internal knowledge stored in FFNs and the retrieved context. However, this perspective is incomplete, failing to account for the impact of other components of the LLM, such as the user query, previously generated tokens, the self token, and the final LayerNorm adjustment. To comprehensively capture the impact of these components on hallucination detection, we propose TPA which mathematically attributes each token’s probability to seven distinct sources: Query, RAG Context, Past Token, Self Token, FFN, Final LayerNorm, and Initial Embedding. This attribution quantifies how each source contributes to the generation of the next token. Specifically, we aggregate these attribution scores by Part-of-Speech (POS) tags to quantify the contribution of each model component to the generation of specific linguistic categories within a response. By leveraging these patterns, such as detecting anomalies where Nouns rely heavily on LayerNorm, TPA effectively identifies hallucinated responses. Extensive experiments show that TPA achieves state-of-the-art performance.

    Submission history

    From: Pengqian Lu [view email]
    [v1]
    Mon, 8 Dec 2025 12:50:41 UTC (2,102 KB)
    [v2]
    Tue, 6 Jan 2026 04:08:04 UTC (2,286 KB)

    Attribution Detecting Hallucinations Probability RAG Token
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    Awais
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